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The People Have Spoken. Trump Wins Resounding Electoral Victory!

11/27/2024

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It was not the result that I wanted, but the American people have given Donald Trump a decisive victory over Kamala Harris. He won both the popular and electoral votes. Harris graciously conceded to Trump, and the transition is underway for the 47th President of the United States of America. The silver lining is that the election results are not being litigated in courtrooms across the country, and there will be a peaceful transfer of power.
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In the history of the United States there has never been a more uniquely flawed candidate at the head of a major party’s presidential ticket than Donald Trump. That is why I thought that Kamala Harris would squeak out a victory. But I was wrong. The American people had been expressing their dissatisfaction with the direction of the country throughout the campaign, and the Democrats were mostly tone deaf to the things that mattered most, namely high prices and border security.

Joe Biden was an unpopular president, and by the time he begrudgingly dropped out the race it was too late for any replacement candidate to mount an effective campaign against Trump. Joe Biden was an 800-pound albatross around Kamala Harris’ neck, and she could never effectively articulate how her administration would be meaningfully different than Biden’s. Republican wins in the House and the Senate sent a clear message that the country wanted change, even if that meant bringing back Donald Trump.
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​The Democratic Party was clearly out of step with the mood of the country. The progressive politics of the Biden Administration pushed the party left while the majority of the country shifted right.  The Trump campaign effectively portrayed the Democrats as a party trying to impose a radical left-wing agenda highlighted by racial, gender and identity politics, while the needs of ordinary Americans were being ignored. As a result, Donald Trump and his party will soon control the executive branch and both Houses of Congress.
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​But What About Trump? Donald Trump was an unpopular president and unpopular presidential candidate. In recent days his favorability rating surpassed 50% for the first time. Voters were willing to overlook the criminal indictments and convictions, the xenophobia and misogyny, the name calling and petty antics, and the circus atmosphere surrounding Trump. None of Trump’s nonsense and misdeeds impacted voters personally, but high prices and the sense of insecurity resulting from a porous border did.  It’s true that Trump’s base of MAGA supporters is strong. But Trump was pushed over the finish line by anti-incumbent voters who rejected Joe Biden’s policies, and by extension his political party.  
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​Trump Gets a Clean Slate: The electorate did more than just forgive Trump’s boorish behavior, it gave permission to the Justice Department to dismiss the two federal criminal cases against him. Within the past few days, a court in Washington D.C. dismissed the case which alleged Trump had attempted to overturn the 2020 election. This week the federal documents case against Trump in Florida was also dismissed.

In the court filings to dismiss these cases Special Counsel Jack Smith cited a Justice Department policy that sitting presidents may not be prosecuted. Prosecuting a sitting president would certainly impair his ability to perform his duties, but I doubt that the framers of the Constitution intended the president to be above the law. 
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The door remains open for the prosecutions to be renewed once Trump leaves office, but the chances of that happening are remote. The American people handed Trump a get out of jail free card when they elected him to be the next president of the United States.
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Trump still faces state charges in the Georgia election interference case, but odds are that case will die a quiet death. It now appears that Trump’s sentencing for his 34 criminal convictions in the New York hush money case will be delayed until after he leaves office. 
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​Going Forward: Despite his claims to the contrary Trump was not given a mandate by the voters to go “full MAGA” on the country. He received just under 50% of the popular vote, which means that half of the country voted against him. Nonetheless, Trump is newly emboldened by his election victory, the Republican takeover of both Houses of Congress, and the dismissal of the criminal cases against him. There will be little to no restraint on his ambitions to become an all-powerful executive in the Oval Office. His cabinet and other key government positions will be packed with loyalists ready to do his bidding, and Project 2025 will be their roadmap.
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For the next two years Trump will yield nearly unfettered control over the reins of government. It’s time for Mr. Trump to put up or shut up and “Make America Great Again”. Without those pesky Democrats to get in his way he has no one to blame but himself if he doesn’t execute on his agenda. The good news is that the mid-term elections are two short years away and the American people get cranky when politicians swing too far to their ideologic extremes, just ask the Democrats.   
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The 2nd Trump term will be a test of the resiliency of the Constitution and the rule of law. It will remind voters of the importance of the separation of powers, the need for checks and balances within the federal government and determine whether the co-equal branches of government actually function as such. 
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Some Crazy and Not So Crazy Predictions:
  • A group of Trump supporters will promote an effort to put Trump’s face on Mount Rushmore or create a monument to him on the National Mall.
  • The Trump Administration will force Supreme Court Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito to step down so that they can be replaced with younger justices.
  • Trump will try to get reelected for a third term claiming that he was cheated out of having two consecutive terms. He could also justify such a move by declaring (or creating) a national emergency. If Trump forced the Republican Party to nominate him in 2028 would the Supreme Court stop him?
If the 2024 presidential election proved anything it is that American voters don’t vote for the best and brightest. Americans vote out of self-interest.  For most voters that means which candidate will provide them and their family with the most financial well-being. Stubbornly high prices on everyday goods, high interest rates on credit cards and car loans, and high mortgages and rents have undermined the financial well-being of too many Americans.

​To sum it up, Harris lost the election because paychecks went further under Trump. In the immortal words of Democratic strategist James Carvel, “It’s the economy stupid!”
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If you enjoy reading this type of commentary, please subscribe to my blog and tell a friend. You will receive an email notification when new blogs are posted. The email will come from the site’s email: armchairamerican1776 American @gmail.com.

Thanks,
Armchair American

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Millions of Americans Have Already Voted in the 2024 Election, and So Have I.

11/1/2024

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As of this writing over 66 million Americans have already voted in the 2024 presidential election, and I was one of them. If you haven’t voted yet you have until the polls close on November 5, 2024. I can’t say it any better than that renowned statesman and gifted orator Donald J. Trump who is imploring his supporters to “Get your fat ass out of the couch” and vote.

For me the decision on whom to vote for is clear. It is a decision between a candidate who attempted to overthrow the results of a free and fair election, the bedrock of our democracy, and one who didn’t.

Rather than to rehash it all, I thought it would be interesting to revisit two of my blogs from the 2020 election cycle and present a few of their highlights. 
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Vote 2020
Here it is in the middle of July, and it is ramping up be the summer of our collective discontent. We are in the midst of a worldwide pandemic, the economy is in a shambles, protests against police injustice occur nightly, civil war era monuments are being toppled, and dozens of our citizens were killed by firearms over the 4th of July weekend. The citizenry of this country should be discontented, if not downright outraged. Contentment leads to complacency, and this is not a time to be complacent.

Black Lives Matter was considered by some to be a fringe radical group when it started in 2013. Today it is an international movement with support from people of all races. It is an example of a group of people getting together in common cause and raising awareness of racial injustice right here in the United States. I think that their cause is catching fire and will finally lead to some positive changes. But what about the rest of us? How can we make a difference? The answer my friends is at the ballet box!  The presidential general election will be held on November 3, 2020, and several state primaries are being held in the months leading up to November.

Voting is a fundamental right of every U.S. citizen 18 years of age and older. The free exercise of this right is one of the most effective ways to let your voice be heard and to affect change. There are laws that make voting mandatory in approximately 22 countries, but not here in the United States. No one can force you to vote. But if citizens are complacent and don’t vote, how will change be affected? If you are not motivated to vote, I have listed a few things that you may want to consider.
 

Reasons to Vote:
  • Preservation of Democracy: Apathy and indifference play into the hands of despotic leaders, and weakens democracy. The fewer people who vote, the more power accrues to the few at the top.  Voting is the most effective tool that citizens of a free society have to prevent injustice, tyranny, and despotism. When the right to vote is denied or restricted, then all power is ceded to the state. Look at China, which has a one-party system. Xi Jinping is the President of the people’s Republic of China and the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China. In 2018 the Chinese constitution was amended, removing term limits for the president. Xi is now an autocrat, and what he says goes. Is there any wonder that the Chinese government recently imposed new security laws on Hong Kong, minimizing the island’s autonomy and restricting the rights of its citizens? Another example of a country where free and fair elections are questionable at best, is Vladimir Putin’s Russia. Putin recently pushed through constitutional amendments which virtually guarantee his presidency for life. Autocracies are never good for the rights of the citizens.
  • Local Elections Matter: What happens at the city, county, and state levels of government has a real impact on your family, community and your wallet. Local elections choose school boards, city councils, mayors, county supervisors, judges, sheriffs, DAs, state legislators, governors, and others. I would venture a guess that most of us pay more in state and local taxes (and fees) than we do in federal taxes. At the federal level, you may pay income and payroll taxes, excise taxes on some fuels and alcohol, as well as fees on some utility bills. But at the local level, you pay sales taxes, gasoline taxes, transient occupancy taxes, vehicle taxes, tolls, property taxes, interest from bond measures, utility fees, income taxes, etc. Most of these are determined through ballet initiatives, or by elected officials. Perhaps even more important than how much is collected, is how the money is apportioned. How tax money is spent in your community on such things as schools, roads, public health, public safety, parks, green spaces and other community services, has a big impact on your quality of life.
  • Down Ballet Candidates Matter: Even if none of the presidential candidates are to your liking, there is more to November’s election than the presidency. The control of Congress is up for grabs, and the stakes are high. Congress is a critical check on presidential power, it will determine which federal judges are appointed and the legislation that makes it to the president’s desk.   
  • Be a Part of History: Today, many of us take our right to vote for granted. But those who came before us fought long and hard to win those rights that we enjoy today. 2020 is the 100th anniversary of the 19th amendment to the U.S. Constitution, giving women the right to vote. The least we can do to recognize this major achievement for women, is to vote. Vote to commemorate the achievement of all the brave women, and other marginalized people, who fought so that we wouldn’t have to.                
 
Voting During the Pandemic: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted just about every aspect of our lives. To top it off we are faced with a national election. How do we do it safely during a time of self-quarantines, social distancing, and enhanced sanitation procedures? We don’t know if the virus will still be with us in November. But we can’t sit idle and wait to find out. We do have some experience with voting during this pandemic, and it wasn’t pretty! During this primary season we have all read and seen news reports of people waiting in long lines, under extreme conditions, to vote. Voters in Wisconsin stood in lines for hours in the frigid cold, to exercise their right to vote this past April. More recently the good people of Georgia endured long waits, in scorching heat, to vote in their primary. Why did this happen? Election officials blame it mostly on the pandemic.
​Many of the poll workers are volunteers, who were frankly too frightened to work the polls. Those who did work were provided too little, or inadequate training, due to distancing and sanitation rules. Fewer poll workers lead to consolidation of polling places, compounding an already bad situation. Is this what we can expect in the November election? I hope not, and it doesn’t have to be. (Thank God the pandemic is over!)

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Is the 2020 Presidential Election Finally Over?
​The 2020 presidential election is finally over. The Electoral College met on December 14th in all 50 states and the District of Columbia and cast their electoral votes. The Electoral College has spoken, and the winner of the 2020 presidential election is (drum roll please), Joe Biden! It was a very contentious election, and President Trump and his allies have tried every legal maneuver possible to have the election results overturned. But the numbers don’t lie. Here is the election scorecard, which even the most hardened partisan cannot overlook:
2020 Presidential Election Score Card
          Votes/Challenges                                             Trump                                       Biden

Popular Vote                                                      74,223,753 (46.9%)                 81,283,495 (51.4%)

Recounts in Wisconsin and Georgia                                                                              *

Lower Courts Lawsuits (50+)                                                                                              *   

Supreme Court Rulings (2)                                                                                                  * 

Electoral College Votes                                                    232                                           306

Victor                                                                                                                                              * 
Even before all the votes from the November 3rd election were tallied, the President’s campaign, and members of the Republican Party, began filing over 50 lawsuits in various jurisdictions. The lawsuits contested the election outcome due to outright fraud or voting irregularities. Some of these lawsuits are still pending, but the majority were thrown out or decided in Joe Biden’s favor due to lack of evidence. The Supreme Court challenge, filed by the Texan Attorney General, was denied due to lack of standing (he didn’t have the legal right to sue other states over their election laws). The Supreme Court challenge against the state of Pennsylvania, for liberalizing absentee voting, was denied due to lack of merit. Much to the chagrin of President Trump, the separation of powers is still working. The partial recount in Wisconsin and the full hand recount in Georgia, both went in Joe Biden’s favor.
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On the floor of the Senate today, Leader Mitch McConnel acknowledged Joe Biden’s victory in the Electoral College. He went on to congratulate President-elect Biden and Vice President-elect Harris on their victory.  On January 6, 2021, Congress will meet in joint session to count the electoral votes and declare the winner of the presidential election. For the sake of the country, let’s hope that Donald Trump and his millions of admirers accept the outcome of the election so that we can work together on the challenges ahead. (Guess how that turned out!) 
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If you enjoy reading this type of commentary, please subscribe to my blog and tell a friend. You will receive an email notification when new blogs are posted. The email will come from the site’s email: armchairamerican1776 American @gmail.com.
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Thanks,
Armchair American
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